基于温室气体清单的市级国土空间规划碳定量研究：分析框架、核算方法与规划模拟
Study on Carbon Quantitative Analysis of Spatial Planning: Framework, Calculation Methods and Simulation
熊 健
上海市城市规划设计研究院 党委书记、副院长，正高级工程师
张 翀（通信作者）
上海市城市规划设计研究院 规划师，硕士
谢湘雅
上海市城市规划设计研究院 规划师，硕士
卢 柯
上海市城市规划设计研究院 发展研究中心副主任，正高级工程师
张天然
上海市城市规划设计研究院 交通分院院长，正高级工程师
金 昱
上海市城市规划设计研究院 交通分院总工程师，高级工程师，硕士
王 波
上海市城市规划设计研究院 高级工程师，硕士
时 寅
上海市城市规划设计研究院 规划师，硕士
摘要: 碳排放数据的统计和分析对于实现“碳达峰、碳中和”目标的相关政策制定和行动选择至关重要。国土空间规划作为
聚焦“空间”的综合治理平台，需加强“双碳”战略下的专题性定量分析。首先，在梳理温室气体清单应用延伸的国际
经验和国内研究基础上，明确国土空间规划碳定量分析的任务和要点，提出研究以国土空间碳核算为核心、以国土空间
规划碳排放多情景模拟为延展的关键方法；其次，从温室气体清单着手，构建碳定量分析体系，制定核算公式，并以上海
为例说明体系细化、因子标定等本地化路径和应用情况；最后，提出减碳目标约束下开展规划碳排放模拟的技术思路，
并对上海市规划交通碳排进行评估。
Abstract: The statistics and analysis of carbon emission data are crucial to policy formulation. It's important to strengthen thematic carbon
quantitative analysis of spatial planning. On the basis of summarizing the international practical experience and domestic research of the application of greenhouse gas inventories, the specific goals and main points of carbon quantitative analysis of spatial planning are clarified, and the key methods are proposed. An analysis structure is constructed, and calculation formulas are formulated. Based on Shanghai's empirical analysis, the localized application path is introduced. Further, the technical approach for conducting multi scenario simulation is proposed.
关键词：国土空间规划；温室气体清单；碳排放；定量分析
Keyword: spatial planning; greenhouse gas inventories; carbon emissions; quantitative analysis
中图分类号：TU984
文献标识码: A
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