基于全国国土调查数据的建设用地高质量发展规划策略——以鲁豫皖苏浙沪为例
Planning Strategies for High-quality Development of Construction Land Based on "Second Survey" and "Third Survey" Data: A Case Study from Five Provinces and One City
赵凯旭
西北大学城市与环境学院 博士研究生
欧阳东
南京大学建筑与城市规划学院 博士研究生华蓝设计（集团）有限公司 副总经理
周 勇
江西省社会科学院 博士，助理研究员
王梅梅
兰州大学资源环境学院 副教授，博士后
摘要: 建设用地变化是城乡空间生长过程的直接映射，对其规模和布局的合理管控是国土空间规划的核心内容。基于第二次全国土地调查和第三次全国国土调查数据，运用竞争态和脱钩模型，分析了鲁豫皖苏浙沪建设用地时空演化规律和集约利用水平，提出面向高质量发展的差异化分区管控规划策略，形成“动态分析—绩效评价—政策设计”的新框架。研究发现，鲁豫皖苏浙沪城际间建设用地规模差异大、集聚性高，变化趋势由“存量更新型、高速增长型城市为主，增量扩张型、停滞收缩型城市为辅”转变为“存量更新型、停滞收缩型城市为主，增量扩张型、高速增长型城市为辅”。建设用地与人口、经济增长的匹配关系日趋多元化，人口导向的土地利用集约度滞后于经济导向。基于变化趋势和脱钩关系的匹配度或冲突度，提出增量高质量发展区、减量创新发展区、增量提质发展区、减量提质发展区和精明收缩发展区5类规划管控分区类型，并提出相应的管理政策与建议。
Abstract: The change of construction land is a direct mapping of the spatial growth process of urban and rural space, and the reasonable control of its scale and spatial layout is the core content of territorial spatial planning. Based on the data of "Second National Land Survey" and "Third National Land Survey", and using competitive state and decoupling models, the spatio-temporal evolution patterns of construction land and the level of intensive use in Shandong, He'nan, Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai are analyzed, and the differentiated zoning control planning strategies for high-quality development is proposed, forming a new framework of "dynamic analysis - performance evaluation - policy design". The study finds that spatial variation in the scale of construction land among different cities in Shandong, He'nan, Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai is large and highly concentrated, and that the changing pattern has transformed from "stock update cities, high-speed growth cities as the mainstay, incremental expansion cities, stagnant contraction cities as the auxiliary" to "stock update cities, stagnant contraction cities as the mainstay, incremental expansion cities, high-speed growth cities as the auxiliary". The matching relationship between construction land and population/economic growth is becoming increasingly diverse, with population-led land use intensification lagging behind economic orientation. Based on the changing trends and the matching or conflicting degrees of decoupling relationship, five types of planning zoning are proposed: incremental high-quality development zone, decremental innovative development zone, incremental quality development zone, decremental quality development zone, and smart shrinking development zone, and corresponding management policies and recommendations are put forward.
关键词：空间规划；建设用地；规划策略；国土调查
Keyword: spatial planning; construction land; planning strategy; national land survey
中图分类号：TU984
文献标识码: A
资金资助
甘肃省青年科技基金 人口低增长背景下兰西城市群城市经济韧性的变化及优化策略 22JR5RA518
兰州大学中央高校基金 人口低增长对黄河上游城市经济高质量发展的影响：效应、机制与政策优化 lzujbky-2022-46
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